(a) The regulations adopted pursuant to subdivision (a) of Section 44101 shall include a plan to guide the execution of the first two years of the program, to assess the results, and to formulate recommendations. The plan shall also verify whether the light-duty vehicle scrapping program included in the state implementation plan adopted on November 15, 1994, can reasonably be expected to yield the required emissions reductions at reasonable cost-effectiveness. Scrapping of any vehicles under this program for program development or testing or for generating emission reductions to be credited against the M-1 strategy of the 1994 SIP may proceed before the state board adopts the regulations pursuant to subdivision (a) of Section 44101 or the plan required by this subdivision. The emission credits assigned to these vehicles shall be adjusted as necessary to ensure that those credits are consistent with the credits allowed under the regulations adopted pursuant to Section 44101. The plan shall include a baseline study, for the geographical area or areas representative of those to be targeted by this program and by measure M-1 in the SIP, of the current population of vehicles by model year and market value and the current turnover rate of vehicles, and other factors that may be essential to assessing program effectiveness, cost-effectiveness, and market impacts of the program.

(b) At the end of each of the two calendar years after the adoption of the program plan, if the program receives adequate funding, the state board, in consultation with the department, shall adopt and publish a progress report evaluating each year of the program. These reports shall address the following topics for those vehicles scrapped to achieve both the M-1 SIP objectives and those vehicles scrapped or repaired to generate mobile-source emission reduction credits used for other purposes:

(1) The number of vehicles scrapped or repaired by model year.

(2) The measured emissions of the scrapped or repaired vehicles tested during the report period, using suitable inspection and maintenance test procedures.

(3) Costs of the vehicles in terms of amounts paid to sellers, the costs of repair, and the cost-effectiveness of scrappage and repair expressed in dollars per ton of emissions reduced.

(4) Administrative and testing costs for the program.

(5) Assessments of the replacement vehicles or replacement travel by model year or emission levels, as determined from interviews, questionnaires, diaries, analyses of vehicle registrations in the study region, or other methods as appropriate.

(6) Assessments of the net emission benefits of scrapping in the year reported, considering the scrapped vehicles, the replacement vehicles, the effectiveness of repair, and other effects of the program on the mix of vehicles and use of vehicles in the geographic area of the program, including in-migration of other vehicles into the area and any tendencies to increased market value of used vehicles and prolonged useful life of existing vehicles, if any.

(7) Assessments of whether the M-1 strategy of the 1994 SIP can reasonably be expected to yield the required emission reductions.

(Amended by Stats. 2012, Ch. 728, Sec. 96. (SB 71) Effective January 1, 2013.)